Pakgen Power Limited

Research Team

Table of Contents

Pakgen Power Limited (PKGP) reported a net profit of PKR 4.47 billion (EPS: PKR 12.01) in CY24, down 24% YoY from PKR 5.86 billion (EPS: PKR 15.76) in CY23. The decline primarily reflects lower dispatches due to limited plant operations and higher finance costs. Gross profit stood at PKR 5.35 billion, down 6% YoY. Finance cost rose by 29% YoY to PKR 40.38 million. Management disclosed that the Power Purchase Agreements (CPP, EPP, PTI), originally set to expire on October 7, 2028, have been terminated effective January 31, 2025. 

All dues have been settled by April 30, 2025, with no delayed payment interest. CPPA-G will also reimburse any FBR-related tax liabilities, and accrued WPPF/WWF will be paid. The company retains ownership of the power complex and will receive no further compensation from the government or CPPA. 

Trade receivables amounting to PKR 11.5 billion have been fully realized and converted into cash. The short-term investment portfolio also increased to PKR 6.6 billion. In CY24, the plant operated only during January and July, leading to lower dispatches compared to CY23 when the plant was operational for seven months. The voluntary severance scheme is underway but not yet fully implemented. Regarding the circular debt resolution, management confirmed that Pakgen has received payment under the agreed term sheet, with expectations that other IPPs will also benefit from similar settlements. 

The estimated cost of a new RFP-based plant in the region is between USD 800,000 to 1 million per MW, depending on technology and capacity. Looking ahead, PKGP aims to continue power generation subject to regulatory approvals and plans to participate in the upcoming CTBCM regime. Cost-efficiency efforts include workforce reduction through a VSS and reduced maintenance costs. Surplus liquidity of PKR 6.73 billion and recent receivables realization will support operations. The company is also exploring new business opportunities and believes the plant remains viable given the domestic oversupply of RFO and its export at discounted prices (approximately 40% lower).

 

Important Disclosures 

Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by Chase Securities Pakistan (Private) Limited and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances, this is to be used or considered as an offer to sell or solicitation or any offer to buy. While reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information contained in this report is not untrue or misleading at the time of its publication, Chase Securities makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. From time to time, Chase Securities and/or any of its officers or directors may, as permitted by applicable laws, have a position, or otherwise be interested in any transaction, in any securities directly or indirectly subject of this report Chase Securities as a firm may have business relationships, including investment banking relationships with the companies referred to in this report This report is provided only for the information of professional advisers who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on this report and Chase Securities accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any direct or indirect consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents At the same time, it should be noted that investments in capital markets are also subject to market risks This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose.

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