Bank Alfalah Limited (BAFL)

Research Team

Table of Contents

Bank Alfalah Limited reported consolidated earnings per share of PKR 5.06 in 2QCY25, down 33% from PKR 7.59 in 2QCY24. This translates into profit after tax of PKR 8 Bn compared to PKR 12 Bn in SPLY. The bank declared a dividend of PKR 2.5 per share in 2QCY25, up 25% from PKR 2.0 in 2QCY24. Total revenue in 2QCY25 reached PKR 49.4 Bn against PKR 43.7 Bn in 2QCY24, an increase of 13%. 

This was primarily driven by a 10% increase in mark-up income from PKR 31.3 Bn in 2QCY24 to PKR 34.4 Bn in 2QCY25. The bank saw its total deposits rise from PKR 2.13 Trn at the end of CY24 to PKR 2.29 Trn at the end of 2QCY25, an increase of 8%. Current accounts now stand at PKR 950 Bn, up 16% from PKR 817 Bn at the end of CY24. Going forward, the management expects the deposit growth of the first half to continue in the second half of CY25. In particular deposit growth for the full year is expected near 15% with current account deposit growth expected to outpace. Investments stood at PKR 1.64 Trn at June-2025, down 18% from PKR 2.00 Trn at the end of CY24. 

This drop was attributed to the bank reducing borrowing and booking gains on its investments. Management highlighted that out of its portfolio of investments about 36% is in fixed rate securities including PIBs and Sukuks which have yields of about 14%. The bank has opened 133 new branches over the past year and 33 in the first half of 2025. 

Management was of the view that expansion of the branch network would not be pursued as aggressively in the second half with a stronger focus on increasing visibility for existing branches which may need relocations in some cases. It was highlighted that 38% of the branch network is currently Islamic. It was also revealed that BAFL holds a 30% market share in the credit card segment along with 19% in auto loans and 21% in home loans. 

Capital Adequacy Ratio stood at 17.4% down from 17.8% at the end of CY24. Advances to deposit ratio stood at 44% in Jun-25 down from 52% at the end of CY24. Moving forward, the management believes that the SBP is unlikely to cut rates further in this calendar year and as such their investment book was reduced in size due to a lack of opportunities. They acknowledged that this view is contradictory to market expectations of 50-100 bps cut.  

Important Disclosures

 Disclaimer: This report has been prepared by Chase Securities Pakistan (Private) Limited and is provided for information purposes only. Under no circumstances, this is to be used or considered as an offer to sell or solicitation or any offer to buy. While reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the information contained in this report is not untrue or misleading at the time of its publication, Chase Securities makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. From time to time, Chase Securities and/or any of its officers or directors may, as permitted by applicable laws, have a position, or otherwise be interested in any transaction, in any securities directly or indirectly subject of this report Chase Securities as a firm may have business relationships, including investment banking relationships with the companies referred to in this report This report is provided only for the information of professional advisers who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on this report and Chase Securities accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any direct or indirect consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents At the same time, it should be noted that investments in capital markets are also subject to market risks This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose. 

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